Our experts give you an early shot at finding a winner in the major races this weekend.
Last week … Two winners. Glenn McFarlane got his best bet up with Yonkers ($2.80) and Mitch Cohen delivered with his value bet Nicci’s Fling ($8).
Saturday: ROSEHILL (9 races, start 11.20am), EAGLE FARM (9 races, 11.29am), FLEMINGTON (9 races, 11.40am), MORPHETTVILLE PARKS (9 races, 11.51am), BELMONT (9 races, 1.57pm).
TRENTON AKERS (Courier Mail). Form: x57
SPLITEX (Race 5, No.1 — $2.60)
Drops down in grade from the Group 1 Doomben 10,000 where he was a major speed factor. While this is a strong Moreton Cup, there are no Eduardo’s in the field and he should appreciate a firmer surface with less speed factors.
Value bet: CELLARMAID (Race 1, No.7 — $6.50)
NATHAN EXELBY (Sky Racing). Form: 51303
VOLCANIC ROCK (Race 2, No.9 – $2.60)
The scratching of Cape Breton paves the way for this gelding to break through in stakes grade here. Thought there was nice improvement in the first-up run and suspect he will be fitter again for this. Will sit on speed and expect it to take a tidy effort to gun him down.
Value bet: FLASH AAH (Race 6, No.3 – $12)
JETT HATTON (Racenet) Form: 42525
GROUNDSWELL (Race 6 No.1 – $3.40)
Was out of his grade last start but is well placed back in a much weaker contest. Like him stepping out to 1500m, if Nash Rawiller can find the front and get Groundswell in his rhythm, they will find it hard to get past him.
Value bet: BORN A WARRIOR (Rosehill, Race 4 No.16 – $34)
MATT JONES (Daily Telegraph) Form: 42525
LOVE TAP (Race 6, No.2 — $3.40)
This horse has the class edge on his rivals and comes into it off a promising fresh run. He should handle the wet track and get into a better position in the run from the 1500m start.
Value bet: SWITCHED (Race 9, No.1 — $34)
Classy gelding Love Tap looks hard to beat at Rosehill. Photo: Getty ImagesSource:Getty Images
CLINTON PAYNE (Racenet) Form: 2118x
ZING (Race 6, No.11 — $5.50)
As good a beaten performance as you could wish to have seen first-up and this time things have fallen much more favourably. Hard to beat.
Value bet: CHARRETERA (Race 5, No.9 — $14)
MITCH COHEN (Racenet) Form: 262×5
WICKLOW (Race 3, No.10 — $3.70)
Loved the way this new Chris Waller import went about his business on Australian debut. The Twilight Son three-year-old did his best work late to score over the mile at Newcastle and that form was franked when runner up Peekays Legacy scored last weekend at Kembla. Expecting the step up to 1800m to be right up Wicklow’s alley.
Value bet: THE GOOD FIGHT (Race 7, No.4 — $15)
LATEST BETTING: TAB FIXED ODDS
BRAD WATERS (Racenet) Form: x33x2
FIFTH POSITION (Race 9, No.10 – $5.50)
Fifth Position made a pleasing start to his Australian career at Warrnambool and will be much fitter for the run. Expecting him to stay unbeaten second-up.
Value bet: WITCHFULTHINKING (Race 2, No.4 – $9)
GILBERT GARDINER (Herald Sun). Form: 2×454
RUBISAKI (Race 5, No.8 – $3.40)
Been a muncher of late but grades better than what she meets at Flemington on Saturday. Track and distance specialist.
Value bet: MASERATIE BAY (Race 9, No.9 – $10)
CHRIS VERNUCCIO (Racing News Editor) Form: 28719
CHIEF ALTONY (Race 4, No.12 — $2.50)
Won impressively by four lengths at Ballarat after the track pattern was against him first-up at the same venue. Barrier seven gives in-form jockey Mark Zahra the option of finding a midfield position.
Value bet: LUNAR FLARE (Race 9, No.16 — $7)
Chief Altony can make it two in-a-row when he heads to Flemington Saturday. Photo: Racing Photos via Getty ImagesSource:Getty Images
GLENN McFARLANE (Herald Sun) Form: 62171
CHIEF ALTONY (Race 3, No.12 — $2.25)
Rates big chance on his impressive victory last start, has a nice weight and handles all surfaces.
Value bet: REBUER (Race 7, No.3 — $3.90)
SIMON MOY (NewsRacing) Form: 403×1
REDWOOD SHADOW (Race 7, No.5 – $4.80)
Things didn’t go the plan last start but was doing best work late and meets favourite better at weights.
Value bet: ALL OF BRIGHTON (Race 8, No.2 – $7)
NICK QUINN (TAB). Form: 48114
YULONG JANUARY (Race 5, No.3 — $3.20)
Shot to prominence in late 2019 into early 2020 when he strung together four straight victories and he showed last start that he has recaptured that form.
Value bet: GRACE AND HARMONY (Eagle Farm Race 8, No.6 — $5.50)
LATEST BETTING: TAB FIXED ODDS
s – denotes tip was scratched.
x – denotes spell or holiday.
Note: TAB odds correct at time of publishing.
Originally published asWeekend best bets: Splintex set to sizzle
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