TAB tipping expert Nick Quinn gives his suggested bets for the feature races at Caulfield and Morphettville and Gold Coast on Saturday.
BEST BET: Horrifying (Caulfield, R7 No.1)
VALUE BET: Mozzie Monster (Caulfield, R8, No.2)
LAY OF THE WEEK: Cherry Tortoni (Morphettville, R8, No.1)
LATEST MARKETS: TAB FIXED ODDS
SELANGOR TURF CLUB HANDICAP (1600M)
Caulfield, R8, 4.15PM
The John Sadler-trained Mozzie Monster has caught the eye her past two starts with fast finishing seconds behind the classy Annavisto and looks perfectly placed stepping up to 1600m.
Her racing pattern can be to her determinant but the wide draw here should be an advantage to ensure she gets clear galloping room.
At $5.50 she looks a good each-way bet.
I have no knock on the favourite Agreeable, who came off the speed to win well at Caulfield on April 3 before finishing just out of the money at Listed level last start at Morphettville Parks.
Agreeable has been backed from $5 into a $4.40 favourite.
At double figure odds, Spooning is worth including in the multiples.
She resumed from a spell with a good win at Pakenham and despite the ride in grade can measure up.
THE TIP: Mozzie Monster each-way
Mozzie Monster is great value at $5.50. Picture: Racing Photos via Getty ImagesSource:Getty Images
DARREN GAUCI HANDICAP (1200M)
Caulfield, R9, 4.50pm
Buzz horse Ayrton resumes in a preparation that could see him claim Group 1 glory.
The Mick Price and Michael Kent Jr three-year-old gelding is a $5 pre-post Stradbroke favourite.
On the back of recent jumpouts and an Echuca trial, Ayrton should be winning first-up.
He burst onto the scene with a five-length win at Bendigo on debut and was equally as impressive winning his second start by more than four lengths at Caulfield.
He will be too short for most punters but looks a good anchor for quaddie players.
If there is to be an upset, or you want to back a runner the place, look for a big run from The Big Easy.
The Ciaron Maher and David Eustace-trained runner has been a model of consistency and should again feature in the minor money.
THE TIP: AYRTON win
SOUTH AUSTRALIAN DERBY (2500M)
Morphettville, R7, 3.50PM
Liqueuro and Explosive Jack ran the quinella in the St Leger trial at Bendigo in March and that form looks like holding up in the South Australian Derby.
Since that race Liqueuro held off Through Irish Eyes in the Galilee Final at Caulfield, with Through Irish Eyes franking that form by winning the VRC St Leger at Flemington.
Explosive Jack showed his staying prowess last start when winning the Group 1 ATC Derby.
He looks hard to beat but I’m happy to back both Explosive Jack at $3.80 and Liqueuro at $5 to make an equal profit.
If you wanted to take a bundle bet, which is either of them winning, the current quote is $2.28.
Tom Dabernig and Ben Hayes’ filly Personal is on the third line at $6.
The VRC Oaks winner has been a model of consistency in her career finishing in the placings 10 times from 13 career starts and lost no admirers last start when runner-up in the ATC Oaks, and is worth including in the multiples.
There has been some early interest in two roughies with Montepulciano and Abreed both backed from $51 into $41.
THE TIP Bundle bet with EXPLOSIVE JACK and LIQUEURO
Explosive Jack is aiming to win his third Derby.Source:Supplied
HOLLINDALE STAKES (1800M)
Gold Coast, R8, 3.44PM
A cracking field for the Group 2 Hollindale Stakes with most of the fancied runners drawing perfectly.
I am leaning towards the Annabel Neasham-trained Zaaki to break through at his third Australian start.
He was enormous first-up in the Doncaster when running sixth from the wide gate and stepped up to 2000m when second to Paths Of Glory.
He drops back to 1800m and should be ready to win and the $6.50 is appealing.
Avilius always races well at the elite level but is without a win in 16 career starts, but if he is favourite there could be value elsewhere.
Melody Belle, a 14-time Group 1 winner, will have to overcome barrier 17 (which could be barrier 14 after scratchings) if she is to win before retirement.
She must always be respected but I don’t anticipate her racing style will be suited at the tight Gold Coast circuit.
Fifty Stars has had a busy campaign but steps up to 1800m and can measure up.
THE TIPS: ZAAKI each-way
Originally published asQuinny’s Mailbag: Mozzie to bite back
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