Iowa State at Kansas college basketball odds, picks and best bets

The Iowa State Cyclones (11-14) head to Allen Fieldhouse to play the Kansas Jayhawks (22-3) at 9 p.m. ET. We analyze the Iowa State-Kansas odds and betting lines, with college basketball betting advice and tips around this matchup.

Iowa State at Kansas: Three things you need to know

  1. Iowa State has beaten Kansas only once at Allen Fieldhouse since 2011. The Cyclones beat the Jayhawks 92-89 in overtime in 2017 but that Iowa State team won 24 games and earned an NCAA Tournament berth. This year’s team will need a miracle run in this year’s Big XII tournament to play in the tourney.
  2. Kansas won its 10th straight game by beating the Oklahoma Sooners 87-70 Saturday.
  3. The Cyclones are looking for back-to-back victories, after beating the Texas Longhorns 81-52 Saturday, for the first time since defeating Missouri-Kansas City and Seton Hall in consecutive games back in early December.

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Iowa State at Kansas: Odds, betting lines and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:10 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Jayhawks 80, Iowa State 69

Moneyline (ML)

FORGET ABOUT A MONEYLINE WAGER in Iowa State-Kansas. Since 2015, Kansas (-2500) has the best home record (71-5) and the best record against Big XII conference opponent (75-19). The Jayhawks are also 66-5 as home favorites with a 14.5-point average margin of victory.

Iowa State (+1100) already took a 26-point whooping at home to Kansas Jan. 8, and the Jayhawks’ only home loss this season came to the No. 1 Baylor Bears by a 67-55 count Jan. 11.

Against the Spread (ATS)

TAKE IOWA STATE +16.5 (-115) at Kansas. Kansas hasn’t consistently met bookmakers’ expectations at home against bad teams this season. The Jayhawks are 3-7 against the spread against teams below .500.

Iowa State is a bad team, who has to be flying high off the beating it put on Texas Saturday. The Cyclones are 8-2 ATS over the last 10 meetings and the road team is 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings. There’s a good chance Kansas is looking ahead to its Saturday game against Baylor and could sleep on a Cyclones team it crushed in the season’s first meeting.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 143.5 (+125) is the only play here for the total. The vig on the Under (-154) is too high and there are too many arguments for taking a plus-money Over. The Cyclones have a 13-11-1 Over/Under record thus far on the season and they have the highest percentage of Overs (53-37-2) in conference games since 2015. Furthermore, Iowa State ranks 239th in opponent field goal percentage, 311th in opponent 3-point % and 255th in opponent points per game, so the Jayhawks should have offensive success.

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