Monday Night Football odds, line: Giants vs. Falcons picks and predictions from advanced model on 61-41 run

Eli Manning and the New York Giants have lost three straight and are in dire need of a victory. On Monday Night Football to close out Week 7, they face a team that just snapped its own three-game skid, the Atlanta Falcons. Kickoff is at 8:15 p.m. ET from Mercedes-Benz Stadium in downtown Atlanta. In the latest Giants vs. Falcons odds, Atlanta is favored by four, the same as where the line opened, while the Over-Under for total points scored is 52.5, down from an open of 54. The Falcons are -200 on the money line (risk $200 to win $100), while the Giants are +128 (risk $100 to win $128). With two inconsistent teams squaring off, you’ll want to check out what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say before laying your own Giants vs. Falcons picks for Monday Night Football.

The advanced computer model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, and those who have followed it have seen massive returns. SportsLine’s proprietary computer model went 176-80 last season and beat over 95 percent of CBS Sports Office Pool players in 2016 and ’17. It also performed better than 98 percent of experts tracked by NFLPickWatch.com during that span. Additionally, it went 48-34 on A-rated picks against the spread last season, and $100 bettors who have followed it the past two seasons are up nearly $4,000. 

It went a blistering 13-2 straight up in Week 6, including calling the Steelers’ outright upset of the Bengals and the Patriots knocking off the previously unbeaten Chiefs. And on Sunday in a wild Week 7, it was 9-4 straight up. The model is now on an impressive 61-41 run on all of its top-rated picks, and anyone who has followed it is way up. 

Now, the model has simulated the Giants vs. Falcons 10,000 times. We can tell you it’s leaning over, but it has also produced a strong against-the-spread pick that hits almost 60 percent of time. This pick is available only at SportsLine. 

The model knows the Falcons have scored at will in four of their last five games, led by veteran QB Matt Ryan, who’s thrown for 17 TDs and two INTs this season.

Star WR Julio Jones has been the target of 69 of Ryan’s 231 pass attempts, more than double any other wide receiver on the team. He has 708 yards, second-most in the NFL entering Week 7, but no TDs. Those scores are instead going to rookie Calvin Ridley, who has 22 catches for 349 yards and six touchdowns as the No. 3 wideout behind Jones and Mohamed Sanu. 

The Falcons’ defense ranks 30th in total yards allowed, but the team can make up for it by hawking the ball. It has a turnover differential of plus-4, taking on a Giants squad that’s minus-4 on the season.

Just because the Falcons can put up points doesn’t mean they’ll cover on ‘Monday Night Football.’

Monday is a prime spot for Giants quarterback Eli Manning to break out of a funk against a Falcons defense that has allowed nearly 300 yards passing and 37.5 points per game over the past four weeks. Manning has been sacked 20 times, but the Falcons have managed just 10 sacks all season.

Rookie running back Saquon Barkley has proven his worth, rushing for 438 yards on 5.2 yards per carry. He also has 40 receptions and can showcase his speed on the fast track of Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Who wins Giants vs. Falcons? And which side covers in nearly 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to be all over, all from the incredible computer model that has returned nearly $4,000 to $100 bettors.

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