Prime-time Parlay: Straight-up picks for this week’s biggest games

It’s another six-game Prime-time Parlay week, thanks to Sunday’s 9:30 a.m. ET London kickoff between the Eagles and Jaguars. Are more watching-and-wagering opportunities a shared desire of all Americans and Britons? We say definitely.

Once again, Prime-time Parlay is all about the best games: Thursday, Sunday and Monday’s prime-time games and the top 1 p.m. ET and 4 p.m. ET Sunday matchups. Straight-up picks, but you gotta hit all five (or in this case, six). Then we calculate how much you’d earn for the parlay, utilizing Westgate’s money lines.

Via ESPN’s Football Power Index, Prime-time Parlay tells you the analytics-based predictions for the meetings of greatest national import, offering the smart picks for the games you’ll be watching. (All NFL point spreads and money lines can be found here).

Total payout for Week 8 Prime-time Parlay (selecting all FPI-projected winners in five games): $498.66 on $100 wager

Miami Dolphins at Houston Texans (8:20 p.m. ET Thursday, FOX/NFL Network)

Money line: Texans -380
FPI projection: Texans win by 9.2 points

Mark it down now: J.J. Watt and Jadeveon Clowney are going to wreak havoc on the Dolphins, who rank 30th in the league in pass block win rate. Brock Osweiler better hang on to that football tight. — Seth Walder

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Jacksonville Jaguars — London (9:30 a.m. ET Sunday, NFL Network)

Money line: Eagles -160
FPI projection: Eagles win by 4.4 points

FPI is more confident in the Eagles than Vegas. Though Philadelphia has been below average in efficiency on offense, the model still thinks that going forward — with Carson Wentz at the helm — it will be an above average group. — Seth Walder

Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs (1:00 p.m. ET Sunday, CBS)

Money line: Chiefs -600
FPI projection: Chiefs win by 10.6 points

The Broncos’ best hope to counter the Chiefs’ epic offense is probably Von Miller? Only problem: Miller posted a pass rush win rate of just 21 percent — below league average for a DE/OLB — the last time he had to go against Mitchell Schwartz. — Seth Walder

Green Bay Packers at Los Angeles Rams (4:25 p.m. ET Sunday, FOX)

Money line: Rams -450
FPI projection: Rams win by 11.3 points

Don’t be distracted by the 3 in the win column for Green Bay. If not for two epic comebacks by Aaron Rodgers, this could actually be a one-win team. They deserve credit for those game-saving drives, but not too much credit. FPI keeps that thin margin of error in mind when judging Green Bay going forward. — Seth Walder

New Orleans Saints at Minnesota Vikings (8:20 p.m. ET Sunday, NBC)

Money line: Vikings -110
FPI projection: Vikings win by 2.1 points

Eli Apple isn’t saving the Saints defense. In fact, FPI thinks the Saints have the worst defense in the NFL going forward. It’s be overlooked given the success the offense is having, but one of these days it will come back to haunt New Orleans. — Seth Walder

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills (8:20 p.m. ET Monday, ESPN)

Money line: Patriots -1401
FPI projection: Patriots win by 13.2 points

People are talking about the NFL’s offensive explosion and Bills fans are probably thinking, “huh?” Buffalo’s offense — under Josh Allen, Nathan Peterman or Derek Anderson, it doesn’t matter — is hard to watch. New England could score 14 in the first quarter and call it a day. — Seth Walder

Final Parlay: Texans, Eagles, Chiefs, Rams, Vikings, Patriots

For more from ESPN Analytics, visit the ESPN Analytics Index.

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